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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+7.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+9.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.36+7.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.80vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35+5.56vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+3.67vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.81+1.19vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.51+6.01vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.03-1.92vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-4.63vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.08-0.11vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.08-1.81vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.50-4.30vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.39-5.04vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-8.79vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.11-5.71vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.00-6.30vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University1.63-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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10.29Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.56Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.19Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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14.01University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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11.89Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.19Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.7Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.96Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.29Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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13.0Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Connor Mraz | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 24.7% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Brian Fox | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.