Race 4B

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kelly Crane 17.5% 17.9% 15.6% 15.1% 13.8% 8.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Morgan Wilson 18.6% 16.2% 15.5% 15.5% 11.5% 9.0% 7.1% 4.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 3.1% 3.3% 4.3% 3.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.9% 11.1% 16.5% 22.4% 15.3%
Killian Corbishley 8.5% 9.2% 9.0% 10.1% 11.6% 13.2% 12.8% 11.7% 9.0% 3.3% 1.6%
Mayumi Roller 19.7% 19.0% 16.3% 13.0% 10.1% 9.1% 5.9% 3.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Christina Johns 3.9% 4.4% 5.7% 5.8% 7.7% 8.7% 10.7% 14.0% 15.7% 15.9% 7.5%
Lauren Burke 11.2% 11.3% 12.6% 12.5% 11.6% 12.2% 11.0% 8.1% 4.9% 3.8% 0.8%
Irene Jacqz 7.5% 7.7% 9.6% 9.6% 10.4% 12.0% 12.5% 11.1% 10.7% 7.4% 1.5%
Kathleen Hilton 3.3% 4.2% 4.0% 5.8% 5.8% 7.9% 10.0% 13.8% 15.2% 18.5% 11.5%
Mia Cooper 5.8% 5.5% 6.2% 8.2% 8.7% 10.0% 11.7% 13.1% 14.6% 10.8% 5.4%
Maggy Ashton 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 2.7% 2.1% 4.7% 5.2% 7.7% 16.5% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.