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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.81+3.06vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.07+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-2.55+0.92vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.51+0.56vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.41+2.95vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.08-0.49vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.84+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.36-1.47vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82-0.40vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.51-3.10vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.39-1.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.58-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Washington1.1516.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Washington0.8112.7%1st Place
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4.17University of Washington1.0716.5%1st Place
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4.92University of Washington-2.5512.9%1st Place
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5.56University of Washington0.5110.7%1st Place
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8.95Western Washington University-0.412.8%1st Place
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6.07Western Washington University0.548.8%1st Place
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7.51University of Oregon-0.084.9%1st Place
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10.1Western Washington University-0.842.3%1st Place
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8.53University of Washington-0.363.8%1st Place
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10.6University of Oregon-0.821.8%1st Place
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8.9Western Washington University-0.513.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Oregon-1.391.2%1st Place
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12.21University of California at San Diego-1.681.2%1st Place
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11.8University of California at San Diego-1.581.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 16.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.9% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| Grace Richie | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 32.9% |
| Bella Valente | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.