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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+8.54vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.37vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+6.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.56vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.50+4.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.08+5.06vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.67+1.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.39+2.04vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.65-0.51vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.36-0.12vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.08+0.15vs Predicted
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12Princeton University2.35-1.62vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.03-6.19vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.74-1.24vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.11-4.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-8.97vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.51-3.52vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.29vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.85-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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8.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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10.04Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.88Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.15Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.38Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.81Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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10.92Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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13.48University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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15.49Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.