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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.72vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+5.23vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+8.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+4.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.23-0.54vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.36+2.37vs Predicted
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9Princeton University2.35+0.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-1.00vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.08+0.32vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.63+1.67vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.08-1.88vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.51-0.09vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.67-6.42vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.00-8.85vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.39-7.04vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.50-8.73vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.74-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.29Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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10.37Brown University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.95Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.0Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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11.32Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.67Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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13.91University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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9.96Yale University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 18.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 21.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.