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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+6.33vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+9.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+8.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67+4.70vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.23+1.59vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+3.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.39+3.00vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+1.40vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.50+0.25vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.47vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.03-3.89vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.63+1.65vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.65-4.48vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.08-2.53vs Predicted
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15Princeton University2.35-4.93vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.36-6.07vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.74-4.25vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.51-4.21vs Predicted
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19Tufts University2.08-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Roger Williams University3.000.1%1st Place
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11.26Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.0Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.25Fordham University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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13.65Christopher Newport University1.630.0%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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11.47Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.07Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.93Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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12.75Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.79University of South Florida1.510.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Fox | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 18.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 21.5% |
| Bryan Trammell | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.