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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+7.91vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.53vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+6.99vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.90+6.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.44+3.15vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.45+1.85vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.34+1.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43+0.22vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+0.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37+2.42vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.50-3.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.54vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.69-6.33vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.21+2.39vs Predicted
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15Princeton University1.08-1.62vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.47-8.32vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-6.05vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.08-4.47vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida1.37-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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5.53Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.32Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.85Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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12.42Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.67Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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16.39Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.38Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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13.53Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.09University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Peter Busch | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 5.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 44.9% |
| Asher Green | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 14.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.