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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+7.88vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.50+5.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+8.24vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+3.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.69+0.90vs Predicted
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7Princeton University1.08+6.64vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.44+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.34-0.81vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07-0.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-0.08vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.43-3.71vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.45-5.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-3.99vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.90-4.91vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.08-2.49vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-4.61vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.21-1.61vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida1.37-6.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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7.75Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.51Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.64Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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9.4Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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10.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.58Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.51Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.39Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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16.39Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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12.08University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.6% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Asher Green | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 12.9% |
| Peter Busch | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| bella casaretto | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 45.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.