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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+4.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+5.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+5.93vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.69+2.89vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+4.75vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.90+4.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+2.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47+0.08vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-1.16vs Predicted
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10Princeton University1.08+3.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+1.18vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37+0.83vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.44-5.29vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.34-5.49vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-2.74vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-5.23vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.50-9.31vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.08-4.40vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.21-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.89Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.75Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.1Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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13.54Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.83University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.69Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.6Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.06Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jed Bell | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Asher Green | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% |
| Humberto Porrata | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Peter Busch | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.