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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+5.92vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+3.49vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+4.80vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.34+3.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+5.99vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22+1.93vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43+0.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+1.75vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08+3.56vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-3.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.44-3.77vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.08+0.37vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-3.64vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-5.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-6.26vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.37-4.58vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-5.57vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.21-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.8Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.58University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.93Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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13.56Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.89Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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13.37Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.36Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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9.46Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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12.42University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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16.05Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% |
| Jed Bell | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Asher Green | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 12.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Micky Munns | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 7.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 43.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.