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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+7.90vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.34+6.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+5.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.44+3.97vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+3.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.69+0.90vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.10-1.60vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+4.70vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07+0.33vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-0.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.45-3.18vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.08+1.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.23vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.90-3.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.02vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.08-2.50vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.50-9.32vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.37-5.63vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.21-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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12.7Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.33Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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13.98Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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10.33Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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13.5Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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7.68Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.37University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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16.02Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% |
| Micky Munns | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 12.2% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Asher Green | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 12.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 16.5% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.