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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.15+2.19vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.84+7.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.51+1.45vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.54+1.10vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.08+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.81-3.05vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.82+1.67vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.41-1.24vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.36-2.25vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.51-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.39-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.58-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of Washington-2.5512.4%1st Place
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4.19University of Washington1.1517.8%1st Place
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10.21Western Washington University-0.842.6%1st Place
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5.45University of Washington0.5110.7%1st Place
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6.1Western Washington University0.547.8%1st Place
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7.43University of Oregon-0.085.3%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington1.0716.6%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington0.8112.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Oregon-0.821.6%1st Place
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8.76Western Washington University-0.413.6%1st Place
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8.75University of Washington-0.363.5%1st Place
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8.68Western Washington University-0.513.3%1st Place
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11.53University of Oregon-1.391.5%1st Place
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12.24University of California at San Diego-1.680.6%1st Place
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11.87University of California at San Diego-1.580.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 17.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.9% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 16.6% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| Grace Richie | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 19.0% | 29.1% |
| Bella Valente | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 18.1% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.