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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.45+6.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+6.01vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+6.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98+5.90vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.10+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.34+2.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.90+3.25vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+3.02vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.69-3.19vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.08+2.62vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.44-3.76vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.50-5.62vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-1.39vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.22-6.24vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.47-8.32vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.37-4.58vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.21-1.64vs Predicted
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19Princeton University1.08-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.01Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University1.980.0%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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10.25Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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12.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.81Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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13.62Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.38Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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12.61Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.76Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.68Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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12.42University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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16.36Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.23Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% |
| Mateo Farina | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 12.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 6.4% |
| Jed Bell | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 44.6% |
| Asher Green | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.