← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.10+4.40vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+10.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.34+5.45vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.50+3.67vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.22+4.11vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.69+0.90vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.07+2.57vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.47+0.10vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.45-1.26vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.90+0.11vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.43-3.13vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University1.08+1.93vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.98-3.33vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.92vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.44-7.12vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.37-3.62vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida1.37-4.62vs Predicted
-
18Princeton University1.08-4.46vs Predicted
-
19Washington College0.21-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
12.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.67Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.11Brown University2.220.0%1st Place
-
6.9Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.57Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
-
8.1Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
7.74Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
10.11Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
7.87Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
13.93Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.67Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
11.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
7.88Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
12.38Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.38University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
-
13.54Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
16.0Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| bella casaretto | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 12.8% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
| Peter Busch | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
| Asher Green | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.