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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.69+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.44+5.96vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+4.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+7.05vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.50+2.89vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.34+2.33vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.45+0.92vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-0.34vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07-0.59vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-3.11vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.90-1.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-0.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.98-3.99vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.08-1.62vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.90vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.37-4.60vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.08-4.40vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.21-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.91Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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7.89Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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7.92Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.66Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.41Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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10.58Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.27Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.01Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.38Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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12.4University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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13.6Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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16.09Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter Busch | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| bella casaretto | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.1% |
| Jack Derry | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Asher Green | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 13.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.