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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.90+8.75vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.34+5.97vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.50+4.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+0.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43+2.37vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.49+1.17vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.98+2.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.69-1.56vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-0.81vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08+2.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+0.54vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-2.79vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.37-1.44vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-2.60vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.44-7.66vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-5.68vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.08-4.14vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.21-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.75Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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7.43Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.99Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.96Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.56Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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7.34Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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10.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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12.86Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
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15.24Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% |
| Jack Derry | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Micky Munns | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% |
| Peter Busch | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Asher Green | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.