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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.50+6.39vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+5.38vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.13vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.90+5.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.69+1.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+5.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.34+0.83vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22+0.20vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.44-1.70vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.43-2.28vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-1.66vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.07-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.37-1.45vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.08-1.51vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-4.76vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.37-4.22vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.21-1.52vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.08-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.38Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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5.13Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.41Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.45Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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8.2Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.24Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
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12.49Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.48Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
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12.59Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thad Lettsome | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.7% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.2% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jed Bell | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Peter Busch | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 46.7% |
| Asher Green | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.