← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.69+5.69vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University3.10+3.20vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.50+4.35vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.49+3.08vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.16vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University1.37+5.76vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+4.39vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.34-0.27vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.07-0.15vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.98-0.50vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.43-3.40vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University1.08+0.95vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.22-4.83vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.44-6.85vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University1.90-5.52vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida1.37-4.16vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University1.08-4.13vs Predicted
-
18Washington College0.21-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.69Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
-
5.2Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
7.35Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.08Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
-
11.76Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
-
11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
7.73University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
-
8.85Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.5Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
-
7.6Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
-
12.95Princeton University1.080.0%1st Place
-
8.17Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
7.15Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
9.48Fordham University1.900.0%1st Place
-
11.84University of South Florida1.370.0%1st Place
-
12.87Christopher Newport University1.080.0%1st Place
-
15.22Washington College0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Jack Derry | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| bella casaretto | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Asher Green | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
| Jed Bell | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Peter Busch | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.