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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+6.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+7.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.47vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.64+6.34vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+1.80vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.42+0.94vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.69+3.11vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57+2.92vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69+0.93vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.13-1.99vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-3.48vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.79-3.59vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.27-3.21vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.78-6.41vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.79-3.24vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.15-2.04vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.70-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.34Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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6.94Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.11Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.92Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.93Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.52Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.41Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.59Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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13.76Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.96Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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13.87Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Flores | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Maks Groom | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Michael Kirkman | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Zander King | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| William George | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Will Priebe | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Adams | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| David Grace | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 39.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.