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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.51+2.44vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.36+4.75vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.81-0.10vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.51+2.89vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.54-1.11vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.41+1.04vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.84+1.23vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.08-2.39vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-2.55-6.11vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.39-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.68-0.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.58-2.16vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-0.82-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of Washington1.1517.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Washington1.0718.9%1st Place
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5.44University of Washington0.5110.5%1st Place
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8.75University of Washington-0.362.7%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.8111.8%1st Place
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8.89Western Washington University-0.513.4%1st Place
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5.89Western Washington University0.549.5%1st Place
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9.04Western Washington University-0.413.0%1st Place
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10.23Western Washington University-0.841.8%1st Place
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7.61University of Oregon-0.084.7%1st Place
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4.89University of Washington-2.5511.4%1st Place
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11.48University of Oregon-1.391.2%1st Place
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12.16University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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11.84University of California at San Diego-1.581.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Oregon-0.821.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 17.2% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.9% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Jack Beeson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Miller | 11.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 20.2% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 29.6% |
| Bella Valente | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 24.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.