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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.57+9.65vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.53+4.61vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.49vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+3.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.04vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.12+2.18vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+3.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.69+2.31vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.13-1.05vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.79-0.41vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.15+4.99vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.83-2.19vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.42-6.31vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-0.03vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.78-5.43vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.77-6.43vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.64-6.72vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.27-6.18vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.70-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.65Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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8.18Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.13Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.31Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.59Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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15.99Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.69Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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13.97Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.57Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.28Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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11.82University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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13.85Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Danielson | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Will Priebe | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| William George | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Alex Adams | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 42.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Zander King | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| David Grace | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 16.8% | 15.7% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.