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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+9.12vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+6.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+6.87vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.41vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.05vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.79+7.63vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.53-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+1.77vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.12-0.97vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.70+4.10vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.30-3.62vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.42-4.76vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.64-2.89vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-4.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.27-3.23vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.15-0.13vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.69-6.87vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.78-8.42vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College1.57-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.12Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.28Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.63Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.57Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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8.03Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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14.1Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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7.24Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.11Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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9.84Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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15.87Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.58Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Maks Groom | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| David Grace | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 16.6% | 17.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Will Priebe | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 18.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Zander King | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.3% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 39.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.