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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.53+5.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+5.50vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.69+7.18vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+5.71vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.15+11.18vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.13+2.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.41vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12+0.48vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.42-2.19vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.78-0.37vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.70+3.23vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.64-1.33vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-2.64vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-5.64vs Predicted
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16Yale University1.79-6.46vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-5.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-8.39vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.79-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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16.18Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.48Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.81Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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14.23Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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10.67Dartmouth College1.640.0%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.22Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.36University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.54Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.46Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kirkman | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 45.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Maks Groom | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Zander King | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 18.8% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| William George | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Alex Adams | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| David Grace | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.