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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.29vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+6.16vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.70+11.04vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.12+4.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+5.28vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.53+0.46vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79+2.63vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+1.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.83-0.65vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.78-1.41vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.69-1.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-2.72vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.42-7.00vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.25-3.26vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.30-8.76vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.27-5.16vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.79-4.31vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.15-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.16Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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14.04Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.28Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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9.63Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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9.84Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.59Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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10.37Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.28Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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7.0Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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11.74Dartmouth College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.84University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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13.69Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.62Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 19.3% |
| Will Priebe | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William George | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Jack Flores | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Zander King | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| David Grace | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.