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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+6.54vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.78+7.65vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+5.17vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.42+2.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+3.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+2.66vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.71vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.55+1.39vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.83-0.77vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.79+2.74vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.27+0.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.61vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.79-4.37vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.13-7.03vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.15-0.17vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.70-3.07vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.69-8.14vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College1.25-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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8.17Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.77Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.66Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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13.74Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.2University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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9.63Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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15.83Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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13.93Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.86Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.44Dartmouth College1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Zander King | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Jack Flores | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| David Grace | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 14.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 40.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 18.3% |
| William George | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Long | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.