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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.25+10.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+5.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.35vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+3.98vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.12+3.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.38+0.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69+3.02vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.42-0.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77+0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.83-0.70vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.78-1.45vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-2.16vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.55-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.27-2.01vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-5.22vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.15-0.21vs Predicted
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17Princeton University0.70-3.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-8.41vs Predicted
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19Christopher Newport University0.79-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.92Dartmouth College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.98Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.3Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.02Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.06Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.84Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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15.79Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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13.95Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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13.37Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Long | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.8% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William George | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Zander King | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 39.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 19.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| David Grace | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.