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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+6.47vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+6.04vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+5.19vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+3.20vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+4.55vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.78+3.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79+2.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38-0.77vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.42-2.30vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.55+0.50vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.98vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.77-3.66vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.69-3.97vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.27-3.36vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.70-1.99vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College1.25-5.20vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.79-4.32vs Predicted
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19Washington College0.15-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.04Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.5Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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9.61Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.7Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.5Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.94Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.64University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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14.01Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.8Dartmouth College1.250.0%1st Place
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13.68Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.56Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Will Priebe | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Maks Groom | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Beckett Kumler | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Zander King | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| William George | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 17.7% |
| Christopher Long | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| David Grace | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.