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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.81+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.07+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.08+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.51-0.41vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51+1.91vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.84+2.05vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.54-3.02vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.36-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.82-0.19vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.41-3.29vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.39-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.68-1.74vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.58-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Washington1.1517.5%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington-2.5512.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington0.8112.8%1st Place
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4.1University of Washington1.0718.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Oregon-0.084.9%1st Place
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5.59University of Washington0.5110.0%1st Place
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8.91Western Washington University-0.512.5%1st Place
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10.05Western Washington University-0.842.4%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University0.548.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Washington-0.363.5%1st Place
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10.81University of Oregon-0.821.5%1st Place
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8.71Western Washington University-0.413.3%1st Place
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11.54University of Oregon-1.391.2%1st Place
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12.26University of California at San Diego-1.680.8%1st Place
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11.83University of California at San Diego-1.581.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.1% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 18.6% |
| Grace Richie | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 31.1% |
| Bella Valente | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.