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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.83vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.39+1.87vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.28+1.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.60vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-1.28vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.04vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.33vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.81-1.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-0.25vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.74-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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3.87Old Dominion University3.390.2%1st Place
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4.32Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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3.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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6.15Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.67Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Crane | 17.0% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 17.3% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 13.6% | 13.3% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Mayumi Roller | 19.6% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Christina Johns | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 6.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 5.7% |
| Alison Love | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 12.0% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 59.9% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.