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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.69+8.92vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.25+5.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.77+6.72vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+4.07vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.42+2.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.28vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78+2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+1.59vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79+0.34vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-3.19vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.55-0.40vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.25+0.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-5.22vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.69-3.91vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-1.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-6.52vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.15-1.26vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.70-3.95vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida1.27-7.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.64Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.08Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.34Yale University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.6Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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12.28Dartmouth College1.250.0%1st Place
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7.78Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.09Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.52Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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15.74Washington College0.150.0%1st Place
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14.05Princeton University0.700.0%1st Place
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11.37University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Zander King | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Beckett Kumler | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Christopher Long | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Will Priebe | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| William George | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| David Grace | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 15.6% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Kelly | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 38.9% |
| Ossian Kamal | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 18.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.