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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.83+8.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+5.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+6.57vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.91vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.42+1.57vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.44vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.86+1.83vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+1.72vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.54-2.93vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90+3.01vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.65+2.65vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.10-3.84vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.82-4.12vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.76-4.99vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.99-6.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.75-3.59vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.18-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.57Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.91SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.83Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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9.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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13.01George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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13.65Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.16College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.01Stanford University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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11.47Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Earl | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 17.5% |
| Emily Allen | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 24.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Michels | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Chapman Petersen | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Michael Burns | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 20.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.