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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.54+5.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.32vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.83+6.04vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.86+4.55vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.10+2.63vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+1.29vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82+1.83vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.24+6.56vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.22vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.22-2.48vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.76-1.77vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.75-2.48vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.75-1.25vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-5.53vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.92vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.42-10.39vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.90-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.83Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.56Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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7.78SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.52Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.23Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.52Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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13.21Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.39George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.7% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 16.7% | 35.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Chapman Petersen | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Allen | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 17.9% |
| Reed Weston | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.0% |
| Will Murray | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Michael Burns | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.