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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.64vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+6.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.10+5.06vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.88vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+7.57vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.22+1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.75+6.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.86+0.79vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.01vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-0.37vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.42-4.26vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.50vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.65+0.48vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.82-5.24vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.76-5.78vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-6.20vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.18-5.22vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.54-12.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.88SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.57George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.38Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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8.79Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Pennsylvania2.830.0%1st Place
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9.63Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.74Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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13.48Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.22Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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11.78Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Reed Weston | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 19.1% |
| Hayden Earl | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Burns | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
| Emily Allen | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 24.0% |
| William Michels | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.