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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+6.60vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.86+7.11vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65+10.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.25vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+6.24vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+4.65vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.42-1.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.75+0.32vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64+0.05vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.76-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.83-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.75+0.09vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.22-6.90vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.90-2.33vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.10-8.07vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.82-7.95vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.54-12.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.11Cornell University2.860.0%1st Place
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13.84Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.95SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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11.65Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.49Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.32Yale University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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9.33Stanford University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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12.67George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.93College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.97Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Hayden Earl | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Emily Allen | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 25.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Burns | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Carmen Cowles | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Will Murray | 5.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Chapman Petersen | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 20.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 15.9% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| William Michels | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.