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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.83+8.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+4.08vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.42vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.76+5.01vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+3.74vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.84vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+6.45vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.90+4.48vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.86-0.37vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.75-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.75+2.25vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.42-5.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.99-5.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-2.25vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.10-7.37vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.18-4.40vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.26vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.45-7.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.01Stanford University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.74Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.84SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.45Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.48George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.63Cornell University2.860.0%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.750.0%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.75U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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7.63College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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11.6Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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10.23Georgetown University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chapman Petersen | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| William Michels | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Emily Allen | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 23.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% |
| Hayden Earl | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 21.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael Burns | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.