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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+7.53vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+5.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+4.61vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.10+3.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+2.75vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83+3.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.82+2.02vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.06vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.65+4.55vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+1.89vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.54-4.72vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.76-2.39vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.86-4.31vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-7.62vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.90-2.35vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.76vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-7.13vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.25-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.61Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.77College of Charleston3.100.1%1st Place
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7.75Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.94SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.55Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.89Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.28Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.69Cornell University2.860.1%1st Place
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6.38Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.65George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Wisconsin1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| William Michels | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Allen | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 20.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.5% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chapman Petersen | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Hayden Earl | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Wood | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
| Michael Burns | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.