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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.87vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+1.68vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.39+1.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.60vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43+1.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.28-1.79vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.74+0.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49+1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.75vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.11-3.30vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.81-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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3.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.05Old Dominion University3.390.2%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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6.09Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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7.48George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.7Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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7.33Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Crane | 16.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 19.4% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 15.5% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 12.2% |
| Maggy Ashton | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 58.7% |
| Christina Johns | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 8.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
| Alison Love | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.