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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.07+3.17vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.15+1.13vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.41+4.85vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.54+0.89vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.51-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.58+4.94vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.36+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Washington0.81-4.10vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.08-2.37vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.51-2.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.68+0.24vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.82-2.24vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.39-2.51vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.84-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of Washington1.0715.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Washington-2.5513.7%1st Place
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4.13University of Washington1.1518.1%1st Place
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8.85Western Washington University-0.413.3%1st Place
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5.89Western Washington University0.548.3%1st Place
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5.54University of Washington0.5110.4%1st Place
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11.94University of California at San Diego-1.580.7%1st Place
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8.64University of Washington-0.363.3%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.8112.3%1st Place
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7.63University of Oregon-0.084.9%1st Place
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8.88Western Washington University-0.513.4%1st Place
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12.24University of California at San Diego-1.680.9%1st Place
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10.76University of Oregon-0.822.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Oregon-1.391.5%1st Place
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10.0Western Washington University-0.842.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Freemesser | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Nairn | 18.1% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Valente | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 24.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% |
| Grace Richie | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.1% | 31.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 10.5% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 19.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.