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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+4.44vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.93+8.84vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+6.31vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.64+0.93vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.79+2.64vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.35+3.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+4.28vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.40-2.42vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.55-1.49vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.63vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.50-3.20vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.35-3.52vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.43-8.49vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University1.24-1.91vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.93-5.01vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.19-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.84Old Dominion University1.930.0%1st Place
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9.31College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University2.790.1%1st Place
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9.56SUNY Maritime College2.350.0%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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9.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.48George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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5.51Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.09Jacksonville University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.99Cornell University1.930.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Wisconsin0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Barnes | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| William Weinbecker | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 5.5% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Owen Timms | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 23.8% | 16.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 4.3% |
| Lucas Quinn | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 13.5% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.