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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+0.85vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-1.58+2.08vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24-1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-3.44+2.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.01-0.32vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.65-0.39vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-2.05-2.23vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.25-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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4.08Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
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1.94Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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6.7University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
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4.68U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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5.61Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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4.77Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.39Catholic University of America-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 43.7% | 35.1% | 14.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ihle | 6.6% | 8.8% | 22.6% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Anthony Farrar | 39.1% | 36.6% | 18.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elise Singletary | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 44.0% |
| Gil Hankinson | 4.1% | 5.7% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 3.2% |
| Ella Kilgore | 1.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 21.1% | 14.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.7% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 12.2% | 5.4% |
| Catey Knopf | 0.5% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 27.3% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.