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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy-2.01+3.64vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32-0.12vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-2.05+1.72vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.24-2.04vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.58-0.93vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-3.25+0.42vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.65-1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-3.44-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64U. S. Military Academy-2.010.0%1st Place
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1.88Drexel University0.320.4%1st Place
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4.72Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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1.96Penn State Behrend0.240.4%1st Place
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4.07Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
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6.42Catholic University of America-3.250.0%1st Place
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5.68Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Delaware-3.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Hankinson | 3.3% | 7.3% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 11.3% | 3.6% |
| Iain Shand | 42.4% | 35.8% | 14.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.0% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 18.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 39.8% | 34.7% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ihle | 5.8% | 8.1% | 24.0% | 24.7% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Catey Knopf | 1.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 26.0% | 34.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 2.5% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 21.6% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 25.9% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.