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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rutgers University-2.05+3.95vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24-0.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-2.01+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.95+0.87vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.58-0.74vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.25-3.61vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-2.65-1.00vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-3.25-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.95Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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1.89Penn State Behrend0.240.5%1st Place
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4.91U. S. Military Academy-2.010.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Delaware-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.26Syracuse University-1.580.1%1st Place
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2.39Drexel University-0.250.3%1st Place
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6.0Villanova University-2.650.0%1st Place
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6.72Catholic University of America-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Wool | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 14.1% | 9.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 45.9% | 31.5% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gil Hankinson | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 7.6% |
| Addie Perez | 4.4% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 7.5% |
| Henry Ihle | 6.8% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Kieran Elliott | 29.1% | 29.7% | 23.6% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ella Kilgore | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 24.7% | 25.3% |
| Catey Knopf | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.