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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.73vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.28+2.12vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.62vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.39+0.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.24vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-3.36vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.81-0.63vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43-2.84vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.74-2.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.49-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University3.280.2%1st Place
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5.62U. S. Naval Academy2.710.1%1st Place
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4.04Old Dominion University3.390.2%1st Place
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6.82Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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7.37Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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6.16Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 16.9% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nancy Hagood | 15.8% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Killian Corbishley | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Morgan Wilson | 16.4% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 5.8% |
| Christina Johns | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 9.1% |
| Kelly Crane | 20.1% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alison Love | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 9.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 20.5% | 10.7% |
| Maggy Ashton | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.