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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.15+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.07+2.12vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.41+6.01vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.81+0.84vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.84+5.11vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.54-0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.55-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.08-0.34vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.51-0.19vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-1.39+1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.36-2.26vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.68+0.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.58-1.18vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.82-3.37vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.51-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Washington1.1517.5%1st Place
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4.12University of Washington1.0716.8%1st Place
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9.01Western Washington University-0.412.6%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington0.8112.6%1st Place
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10.11Western Washington University-0.842.5%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University0.547.8%1st Place
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4.97University of Washington-2.5513.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Oregon-0.084.9%1st Place
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8.81Western Washington University-0.512.9%1st Place
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11.33University of Oregon-1.391.4%1st Place
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8.74University of Washington-0.363.8%1st Place
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12.33University of California at San Diego-1.680.7%1st Place
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11.82University of California at San Diego-1.581.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Oregon-0.821.9%1st Place
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5.52University of Washington0.5110.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Nairn | 17.5% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 16.8% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 13.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Grace Richie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 32.0% |
| Bella Valente | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 24.3% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.