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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.51+1.89vs Predicted
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2Washington University1.50-0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago0.40-0.06vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College0.41-1.02vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20-0.30vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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1.83Washington University1.500.5%1st Place
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2.94University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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2.98Hillsdale College0.410.1%1st Place
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4.7Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.66Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 17.3% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 25.0% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Robinson | 49.4% | 27.9% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 16.5% | 21.0% | 25.5% | 26.9% | 9.1% | 1.0% |
| Arden Carleton | 13.9% | 22.3% | 27.3% | 26.2% | 9.3% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 55.0% | 19.0% |
| John Riordan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 16.3% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.