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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.50+0.85vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.95vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.20+1.59vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.51-1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.40-1.92vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Washington University1.500.5%1st Place
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2.95Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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4.59Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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2.86Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 48.5% | 28.0% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 15.6% | 23.2% | 25.4% | 23.6% | 11.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 53.3% | 17.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 17.9% | 22.2% | 26.8% | 23.4% | 8.8% | 0.9% |
| Max Zhalilo | 14.0% | 20.1% | 24.4% | 28.8% | 10.9% | 1.8% |
| John Riordan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 14.4% | 79.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.