← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mayumi Roller 17.0% 15.6% 17.4% 13.9% 12.6% 11.0% 7.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Morgan Wilson 17.8% 18.0% 13.2% 13.9% 12.0% 9.8% 6.8% 5.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.2%
Kelly Crane 15.6% 16.2% 16.9% 14.5% 11.6% 10.0% 7.2% 5.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Killian Corbishley 8.3% 8.2% 9.1% 9.4% 12.6% 11.6% 14.2% 11.2% 8.4% 5.4% 1.6%
Alison Love 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 6.1% 8.8% 9.0% 11.9% 14.5% 20.8% 11.0%
Nancy Hagood 15.5% 15.3% 13.6% 14.9% 12.1% 9.8% 6.4% 6.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Kathleen Hilton 3.9% 4.3% 4.4% 5.1% 6.4% 7.4% 9.9% 12.7% 16.4% 18.0% 11.5%
Christina Johns 4.6% 3.9% 5.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.7% 11.7% 11.8% 15.2% 16.9% 7.4%
Mia Cooper 4.8% 5.9% 5.7% 5.9% 7.6% 9.2% 11.7% 15.6% 13.9% 13.4% 6.3%
Irene Jacqz 7.9% 7.4% 8.4% 8.9% 9.6% 10.5% 12.1% 12.3% 12.2% 8.3% 2.4%
Maggy Ashton 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.9% 1.4% 3.2% 3.9% 4.2% 8.9% 14.1% 59.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.