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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-2.55+3.97vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.15+2.07vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.54+3.01vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.84+6.17vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.41+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Washington1.07-2.84vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.51+0.91vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.36-0.36vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon-0.08-2.47vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.68+1.15vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.58-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.39-1.71vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.82-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of Washington0.51-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97University of Washington-2.5512.4%1st Place
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4.07University of Washington1.1517.1%1st Place
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6.01Western Washington University0.548.2%1st Place
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10.17Western Washington University-0.841.9%1st Place
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8.79Western Washington University-0.413.5%1st Place
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4.88University of Washington0.8112.2%1st Place
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4.16University of Washington1.0718.5%1st Place
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8.91Western Washington University-0.513.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Washington-0.363.7%1st Place
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7.53University of Oregon-0.084.9%1st Place
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12.15University of California at San Diego-1.681.1%1st Place
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11.88University of California at San Diego-1.580.7%1st Place
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11.29University of Oregon-1.391.7%1st Place
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10.88University of Oregon-0.821.4%1st Place
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5.66University of Washington0.519.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 12.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 17.1% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucien Freemesser | 18.5% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Qualtier | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 30.6% |
| Bella Valente | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 17.7% | 25.7% |
| Dylan Zink | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| Sadie Creemer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 11.5% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.