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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.50+0.82vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.94vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51-0.16vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.20+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.40-1.91vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Washington University1.500.5%1st Place
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2.94Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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2.84Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.63Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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3.09University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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5.68Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 49.7% | 28.1% | 13.8% | 7.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Arden Carleton | 16.8% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 24.7% | 10.6% | 1.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 16.7% | 24.2% | 26.2% | 24.3% | 8.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 14.7% | 54.2% | 16.5% |
| Max Zhalilo | 13.9% | 19.4% | 26.9% | 25.2% | 12.7% | 1.9% |
| John Riordan | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.6% | 13.8% | 79.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.