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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University1.50+0.84vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.96vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40-1.03vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20-0.29vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Washington University1.500.5%1st Place
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2.96Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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2.85Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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4.71Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.67Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Robinson | 48.0% | 28.5% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 15.3% | 23.1% | 24.7% | 25.2% | 10.8% | 0.9% |
| Lukas Diehm | 17.6% | 22.9% | 25.2% | 26.2% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| Max Zhalilo | 16.4% | 19.3% | 25.9% | 28.5% | 8.9% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 55.8% | 19.2% |
| John Riordan | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 15.9% | 78.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.