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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.40+2.02vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41+0.94vs Predicted
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3Washington University1.50-1.18vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.51-1.13vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20-0.31vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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2.94Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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1.82Washington University1.500.5%1st Place
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2.87Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.69Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.66Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 14.6% | 21.3% | 24.2% | 28.8% | 9.6% | 1.5% |
| Arden Carleton | 16.0% | 23.0% | 24.5% | 25.0% | 10.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Robinson | 48.9% | 28.2% | 16.1% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 16.9% | 22.7% | 26.3% | 25.7% | 7.7% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 54.9% | 19.2% |
| John Riordan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 16.1% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.