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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+2.00vs Predicted
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2Washington University1.50-0.17vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.51-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40-1.01vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20-0.30vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Hillsdale College0.410.2%1st Place
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1.83Washington University1.500.5%1st Place
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2.82Purdue University0.510.2%1st Place
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2.99University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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4.7Michigan State University-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.66Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 15.8% | 21.6% | 23.0% | 28.1% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Robinson | 49.4% | 27.6% | 14.8% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 18.3% | 23.6% | 25.6% | 24.0% | 7.7% | 0.8% |
| Max Zhalilo | 13.6% | 21.4% | 28.5% | 26.1% | 9.4% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 12.3% | 55.0% | 19.0% |
| John Riordan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 16.5% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.