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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+0.44vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-1.68+1.67vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.50+0.41vs Predicted
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4Washington University-1.65-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.68-1.19vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.77-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
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3.67Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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3.41Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.65Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
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5.03Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 68.4% | 22.7% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.1% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 20.9% | 21.0% | 11.8% |
| Brynna Smith | 9.2% | 21.7% | 21.6% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 7.7% |
| Jacob Hsia | 7.8% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 22.2% | 22.0% | 10.1% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.1% | 16.4% | 19.9% | 21.3% | 21.0% | 15.3% |
| Caroline Bielski | 2.4% | 4.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.