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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+0.43vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-1.68+1.67vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.77+1.96vs Predicted
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4Washington University-1.65-0.36vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.50-1.44vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.68-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
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3.67Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
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3.64Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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3.56Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 69.0% | 22.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.5% | 18.5% | 22.3% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 12.6% |
| Caroline Bielski | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 55.6% |
| Jacob Hsia | 7.3% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 23.6% | 20.2% | 10.3% |
| Brynna Smith | 7.7% | 20.2% | 20.7% | 21.8% | 19.5% | 10.1% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.2% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 19.6% | 24.7% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.