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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-1.65+2.65vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.56-0.58vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.77+1.99vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-1.68-0.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.50-1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.68-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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1.42Purdue University0.560.7%1st Place
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4.99Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
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3.67Hillsdale College-1.680.1%1st Place
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3.54Michigan State University-1.500.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Chicago-1.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hsia | 7.5% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 12.2% |
| Odey Hariri | 69.8% | 20.4% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bielski | 2.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 54.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 6.3% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 9.9% |
| Brynna Smith | 7.7% | 20.4% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 11.5% |
| Natalie Manley | 6.1% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 23.2% | 21.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.